A cure-all?
Blog entry: March 9, 2010, 2:37 pm | Author: JOEL HAMMOND
Whenever I talk to folks from the Browns, Indians and Cavs, and do research for this blog, there's always a refrain of “winning cures all,” meaning if a team wins, fans will come and money will be made. As The New York Times a reports, the NBA's Golden State Warriors still — despite a miserable year — are drawing 17,890 per game. That's plenty different from the 14,000 or so the four-games-better Sacramento Kings are doing. Yet look closer: The Warriors are down 5.6% in attendance over last year, the fifth-biggest drop in the NBA.
I thought it'd be interesting to compare NBA record changes to attendance changes, from 2008-09 to this season. Here we go:
Attendance declines (winning percentage change)
Detroit: -16.9% (.349 this season; .476 last)
New Jersey: -13.3% (.111 this season; .415 last)
New Orleans: -12.2% (.500 this season; .598 last)
Philadelphia: -10.7% (.371 this season; .500 last)
Golden State: -5.6% (.270 this season; .354 last)
Houston: -5.5% (.500 this season; .646 last)
Phoenix: -5.3% (.615 this season; .561 last)
Toronto: -5.2% (.525 this season; .402 last)
Atlanta: -4.3% (.635 this season; .573 last)
Oklahoma City: -4.2% (.613 this season; .280 last)
Miami: -4.1% (.508 this season; .524 last)
Boston: -3.5% (.656 this season; .756 last)
Utah: -3% (.645 this season; .585 last)
Milwaukee: -2.8% (.532 this season; .415 last)
Chicago: -2.4% (.500 this season; .500 last)
San Antonio: -1.7% (.590 this season; .659 last)
Indiana: -0.9% (.317 this season; .439 last)
Dallas: -0.5% (.677 this season; .610 last)
Washington: -0.4% (.350 this season; .232 last)
Los Angeles Clippers: -0.3% (.397 this season; .232 last)
Portland: -0.3% (.569 this season; .659 last)
Attendance gains (winning percentage change)
Charlotte: 6.7% (.492 this season; .427 last)
Sacramento: 6.2% (.333 this season; .207 last)
Memphis: 4.4% (.516 this season; .293 last)
Denver: 3% (.667 this season; .659 last)
Cleveland: 2.8% (.769 this season; .805 last)
Orlando: 2.5% (.688 this season; .720 last)
Minnesota: 1.6% (.219 this season; .293 last)
New York Knicks: 1.2% (.349 this season; .390 last)
To sum up: Eleven teams whose attendance has dropped also experienced a drop in win percentage, while 10 whose attendance has fallen are better this season — including some marked on-court improves, such as Phoenix, Toronto, Atlanta and Oklahoma City.
Meanwhile, the attendance gainers are split right down the middle; four have improved in the standings, too, while four have gotten worse.
In other words: Winning doesn't seem to be a cure-all, and losing doesn't seem to be a death knell.
Coming tomorrow: A look at Major League Baseball's attendance/wins ratio.
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